Trump and Nixon

Is Trump thinking a pulling a Nixon? Nixon trip to China was his move to separate the China from Russia. My own view is that in the back of Trump’s mind, he is thinking along those lines. I won’t say if this is possible certainly not now but hear me out. Russia is now a junior partner in her relations with China and China does have many of Russian Eastern portion under their radar screen. Russia relation now is based on needs plus Putin hatred of the West, but his Ukraine war can’t be seen as a success and eventually Russia may find the price of China’s support too high. Russia and China are the real agents of chaos and for China, Russia war on Ukraine forces much of the West attention toward Russia and not on China. Russia is playing their own games, aiding North Korea to improve their arm forces and nuclear capacity and may even helping Iran. The Axis of evil at work. Is it possible or is the time, right? That is a good question or if it is possible, but Trump does understand a Russian-China collaboration over the long haul gives the Chinese the military advantages with resources including rare minerals and energy within its grasp.

Ukraine, there are three options. One simply give Russia all of the Ukraine and that would be classified as a defeat. This is a point I made before but the following two options will be a victory for the West since Russia will be denied a complete conquest of Ukraine. The first which is the most likely scenario, Russia keeps what they have, the Ukraine will still have most of its country and let not forget, they didn’t have all of their country including the Crimea to begin with. Ukraine won’t be part of Nato but Europeans can figure out a way to continuing to arm the Ukraine. There will be no peacekeeping force for three reasons, one the United States won’t participate and second the Europeans in the end will have neither the will or the troops to do it and finally Russia won’t allow it. However, I have mention there are ways for the European to arm Ukraine and Russia have lost quite of bit of men and materials. The final option won’t happen because the United States will not provide material or engage in direct combat with the Russians and Europeans will not intervene to make this option a reality, that is remove Russia from all of the Ukraine including Crimea. Option two, the partial peace with Russia will be the option that becomes a reality.