Trump Pandemic response should it matter?

What happened in 2020 in particular dealing with pandemic and who did what? In April, my friend Dr. Larry Fedewa observed when Donald Trump went along with the lockdown, he was gambling away his election chances.  Fedewa was proven right as Trump ceded not just the overall pandemic response to Anthony Fauci and Debbie Birx, but he ceded to them the control of the economy to them.

The lockdown was a complete failure but none of those who presided over it and supported it have yet to pay a political price for their failures.  Trump, who decided to make this a talking point against DeSantis, has his own record to defend. 

Here is what Trump got right, he allowed federalism to proceed and not interfere with governors decisions and that nearly bailed him out.  States like Georgia and Florida opening up their economy led to significant growth over the last six months of the year.  Unemployment went from 14.4 percent to 6.7 percent with 1.5 million jobs a month being returned to the workforce from May 2020 to December 2020.  Nearly 55 percent of those jobs were returned at the end of 2020.  Joe Biden inherited a growing economy.  As I have mention in previous posts, Republican states created more jobs and returned more jobs than their Democratic counterpart.  Without these states reducing their lockdown mandates, the economy would have been in dire straits.

Trump biggest failures however was that he never had the back of his Republican governors who was doing what they could to bail out the economy and Trump re-election chances.  When Brian Kemp at the end of April begin to reopen, Trump joined Fauci in criticizing him and never did he have DeSantis back when he begin to reopen Florida.   Fauci even praised Cuomo for his disastrous response and recently so did Trump as a move to attack DeSantis. 

Scott Atlas in his book, “A Plague on Our House”, details the inner struggle dealing with Covid from his own perch within the administration.  Atlas details the failure of the lockdowns including missed cancer screenings, missed surgeries, nearly two years of educational losses, bankrupted small business, depression and drug overdoses, overall citizen demoralization, violations of religious freedom, this while public health officials ignored those at-risk population in nursing homes and the elderly plus immunocompromised.  Scott Atlas observed, Yes, the president initially had gone along with the lockdowns proposed by Fauci and Birx, the “fifteen days to slow the spread,” even though he had serious misgivings. But I still believe the reason that he kept repeating his one question— “Do you agree with the initial shutdown?”—whenever he asked questions about the pandemic was precisely because he still had misgivings about it…to disregard his own common sense and allow grossly incorrect policy advice to prevail…. This president, widely known for his signature “You’re fired!” declaration, was misled by his closest political intimates. All for fear of what was inevitable anyway—skewering from an already hostile media. And on top of that tragic misjudgment, the election was lost anyway. So much for political strategists.

Altas view was that Trump had his doubts about the policies, but Trump also did nothing about those doubts and thus his biggest failures.  DeSantis decided to ignore conventional wisdom and seek outside experts to explain what was really happening.  In the winter of 2020, many states continued their lockdown or reinstated lockdown, but Florida and ten other states refuse to do so and as we now know, these governors prove to be correct.

If Atlas is correct and Trump had doubts, he refused to act on them.  Kemp and DeSantis did act on their doubts and proved to be correct.   Trump efforts to criticize DeSantis on this only expose Trump own failures on this as he may have allowed governors to do their thing, he refused to move those around him to discard obviously failing policies and instead allowed Fauci and others to promote these policies to governor, many of whom were perfectly willing to take advantage of the pandemic to use their newly found powers to restrict their citizens freedom.

What voters need to ask is the progress that Trump made on the economic front going into 2020 and his foreign policies successes make up for the complete failure of the Pandemic governing.  Trump ceded his power to the DC health care insiders and if he is not willing to admit his failures here, then voters need to ask can he be trusted again in a similar crisis?

Much of the solutions that was used to shut down the economy for Covid is now being considered for climate emergency and the next Republican President has to put complete stop to this stupidity. On this issue, Trump has been solid on climate policies and removing us from the Paris accord showed that what he will do but his failure to rein in the bureaucracy during the pandemic has to be consider as well. 

DeSantis was right and when you look at the full picture of the economy, education and even deaths based on variables including age showed that Florida performance was superior to Cuomo’s New York that Trump recently praised. 

 Red State writer Bonchie noted, “Yet, the biggest issue with Trump backing Cuomo at the expense of DeSantis is that it shows he doesn’t take the suffering that happened throughout 2020 and 2021 seriously. If he’s willing to praise a guy who instituted lockdowns for two years just for a cheap, false political attack, what other basic principle is he willing to throw aside? Why wouldn’t he recommend another regime of lockdowns if he thinks it will benefit him? Trump may end up the nominee, and I’d like to be able to vote for him with confidence that he’s going to do the right thing on policy. To be honest, I don’t have that confidence anymore. What happened with the nation’s COVID response was not a game. It was horrible, and it can never be repeated. Trump’s fluidity on the issue is not good enough.”  Is he right?

Two Stories

A couple of stories caught my eyes dealing with Climate Science and energy production. The first story, the Artic Ocean was ice free 10,000 years ago during the summer as NoTrickZone observed, “Researchers from Aarhus University, in collaboration with Stockholm University and the United States Geological Survey, analyzed samples from the previously inaccessible region north of Greenland. The sediment samples were collected from the seabed in the Lincoln Sea. They showed that the sea ice in this region melted away during summer months around 10,000 years ago.”  Nor is there any guarantee that Artic Ocean will be ice free in the future even though the authors view this as a possibility within this century.  NoTrickZone quoted the authors, ““Climate models have suggested that summer sea ice in this region will melt in the coming decades, but it’s uncertain if it will happen in 20, 30, 40 years, or more. This project has demonstrated that we’re very close to this scenario, and that temperatures only have to increase a little before the ice will melt,” says Christof Pearce, Assistant Professor at the Department of Geoscience, Aarhus University.” 

The researchers used data from the Early Holocene to predict future possible thawing of the Artic ocean, but they had to acknowledge that the summer temperature were higher than today, nor can you blame human intervention or higher CO2 since CO2 levels were actually lower.  The authors cannot judge if this will be good or bad for the climate, but they take the negative perspective since that is how one gets published today.  Even if the study puts in question the narrative that human activity is the main driving force behind present climate changes since it is obvious that past melting of the Artic was driven by natural variability.

NoTrickZone, P Gosselin noted, “Despite the undisputed powerful natural factors and cycles at play in the Arctic, some researchers take a more alarmist or even hysterical view of what the future holds. For example, warning that greenhouse gas emissions are heating up the planet, Christof Pearce said, citing dubious model results: “The study is a wake-up call, because we know that it will happen. This news is not making the situation more depressing, just more urgent. We have to act now so we can change it.”  If this study shows that natural variability is responsible for this past change, what can humans truly do?

The second story makes the case the demise of fossil fuels in particular natural gas may be exaggerated.  The author Terry Etam noted, “Here’s a 2023 headline from an anti-hydrocarbons website: “China, India lead US$534 billion global gas pipeline build out.” The article notes that globally, over 59,000 kilometres of transmission pipeline are under construction and an additional 151,000 kms are proposed (for reference, the earth’s circumference is 40,000 kms).”

Throughout the world, new natural gas pipelines are being developed, estimated to be five times the earth circumference.  While many have predicted the end of fossil fuel, but the world is acting otherwise as natural pipeline are increasing and coal plants are being built in China and India. 

Etam observed about Africa, “This is from the Gas Exporting Countries Forum, of which many members are African: “Unfortunately, the issue of African energy access has rarely been reported or prioritized, despite African energy consumption per capita being the lowest globally. In light of the need for a secure, affordable, and sustainable energy source to fuel economic growth and alleviate poverty in Africa, all the available energy options will continue to be relevant…the abundance of natural gas and the proven efficiency of combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) in power generation make it a suitable complement to renewables in Africa’s just transition plan.”  Africa dependence on wind and solar will not work without fossil fuels.  The era of fossil fuels are far from finished.

Update on economics

When few GOP governors ignored the advice of Tony “I am Science” Fauci and his sidekick Debbie Birks, GOP states have outperformed Democratic states when it came to unemployment. In August of 2020, the GOP governors had an average of 6.4 percent to Democratic governors 8.4 percent. Wilfred Reilly own research showed similar data in favor of GOP states 6.4 percent to 8.2 percent. In the winter of 2020, eleven Republican states did not reinstate lockdown as there was increase in covid infection and after two years, their unemployment was only 2.9 percent vs. 3.9 percent for those lockdown states,

After numerous studies for Americas Majority Foundation over a period of two years and based on Department of Labor data, we have seen consistently, Republican states outperformed Democratic states no matter if the state had a Republican governor or if the state has state government controlled by one party. Republican states with control of both the legislative and executive had unemployment of 3 percent in December of 2022 to Democrats controlled states of 4 percent. States that had mixed government 3.5 percent unemployment
After the 2022 midterms changes were made as four states, Massachusetts, Maryland, Nevada and Arizona saw changes in the governor race. Both Massachusetts and Maryland are now under complete Democratic control whereas Karen Hobbs is constrained by Republican legislature in Arizona. Nevada, the state with the highest unemployment has a new Republican governor and we will see if he has similar results than other Republican governors in lowering Nevada unemployment.

Over the first third of the year, GOP governors led states have unemployment 2.9 percent and Democrats governor led states have unemployment of 3.5 percent. States with Republican in complete of all aspect of governor unemployment of 2.8 percent versus 3.2 percent for Democrat complete controlled all aspect of government.

The advantages that Republicans with reducing unemployment continues into the first third of 2023 and when you look at top four most populous states with GOP governors outperformed their Democratic counterparts.

In December of 2022, Florida, Georgia, Ohio, and Texas averaged 3.4 percent unemployment and California, Illinois, Pennsylvania, and New York average 4.25 percent unemployment. April of 2023, the four Republican averaged 3.35 percent unemployment and Democratic states averaged 4.2 percent unemployment.

In another study saw larger GOP states averaged 312,000 jobs created from February 2022 to February 2023 for a 3.4 percent increase whereas the four Democratic states averaged only 266,000 jobs created for only a 2.7 percent increase.

From August 2020, GOP governors have dropped from 6.4 to 2.9 percent unemployment versus Democratic governors dropping 8.4 to 3.4 in April of 2023.

Conclusion is that for the past nearly three years, GOP governors and state have outperformed their Democratic counterpart and first reason is that they opened their economy sooner during the pandemic and this gave them advantages. Open the economy and you can produce goods, services, and jobs. Governor Kemp, Noem, Reynolds, and DeSantis understood this and realized quickly the virus was not as lethal as originally predicted.

What the GOP candidates can’t forget

There are aspects of how to win a nomination and how not to win.  Trump strategy was to go after DeSantis before he entered the race and taking of advantage of the prosecution that aided in his popularity. 

Maybe Trump views his 30 plus points ahead in the polls not as safe as the pundits do or he would change his strategy and he has basically ignored the other candidates like Nikki Haley and Tim Scott as no threats. The real issue is how far do you go to go after DeSantis and risk tearing the party asunder? 

Trump advantages, he ran a successful foreign policy that made the world safer with no war in Ukraine, the Abraham accord with unified Sunni Arabs and Israel against Iran and changed our view of China to a more realistic view. 

Trump’s criticism of NATO included his view that NATO member states should contribute more toward their own defenses.  This may have seen results.  As Michael Barone noted, “Finance ministers, stung by Trump’s campaign criticisms, are ponying up more money to meet their NATO defense-spending commitments.”

Brexit was the first break in the European Union’s dominance of the continent. While Obama threatened Britain with being sent to the “back of the queue” if they voted to leave the EU, Trump supported Brexit and a possible future U.S-U.K. free trade agreement.  Brexit could be the first step toward the formation of the Anglosphere an alliance of English-speaking nations that would support Trump’s “America First” view of the world and should be part of any GOP talking point.

In the Middle East, Trump ditched Iranian deal and boosted the Sunni-Israeli alliance against increasing Iranian influence through various peace agreements between Sunni states and Israel.   These success can be contrasted with Biden approaches which abandoned the Abraham Accord and created a more chaotic Middle East, his w withdrawal from Afghanistan was a disaster and led Putin to think he could invade Ukraine with no real objection from the Biden’s administration.  Biden’s weakness led to the Ukraine invasion and now we are supplying Ukraine in an endless war that has no real endgame.

Inflation has reduced the average worker living standard and energy independence policy ended with Biden’s administration.

Trump biggest failure was his handling of the pandemic and the panic that ensued as result of lockdown.  The position of allowing federalism allowed states to decide their fate in dealing with the pandemic. He failed to change the policy openly but allowed Fauci and Birks to run the policy. 

DeSantis along with Governor Kemp of Georgia, Reynolds of Iowa and Kristi Noem of South Dakota move away from the lockdown and they along with seven other GOP governors did not redo lockdowns in their states during the winter of 2020.

DeSantis record of governor dealing with the pandemic and challenging the left in his state has shown a pathway to dealing with the administrative state in DC.

For DeSantis, he has to show how he will build upon the Trump legacy the first three years and how his record will translate.  For Trump, he has to show what he learned from his failure in 2020 and how it will shape his administration. Both men have their challenges.

The biggest challenge is not to forget who the real enemy is.  It is the Democrats.

The race now

The election is just beginning, and we have long way to go. DeSantis twitter introduction was hardly a winning one, but it will be long forgotten months down the road, but Trump has all the advantages for now as the polls shows.

His lead in the poll began with the Bragg indictment in New York for yet another fake crime and for many Republicans, it was nothing more than a political attack. Trump is under legal siege from the special prosecutors and in Atlanta for interfering with 2020 election. As I wrote in America at the Abyss, Will America Survive, “The battle to see Trump punished will continue a state level and New York City and Biden’s Justice Department will certainly carry on their own jihad against Trump and his family.  There is a precedence for this as Franklin Roosevelt pursued members of the Hoover administration—and. in particular Andrew Mellon– legally and modern-day Democratic Party is even more nasty, and Joe Biden will not lose sleep over his DOJ or some state attorney general pursuing the Trump family until they find something to jail him or members of his family or bankrupt them. For many Democrats, Trump was an affront to them, and it is their attention to wipe out any aspect of Trumpism.”

The reality is that for many in GOP, DeSantis before 2024 was the heir to Trump conservatism. For many he was supposed to wait his turn and allow Trump to be coronated, but DeSantis decided it was the right time now. Let be blunt, Trump legal troubles, no matter how deserved, will take a toll on his popularity and ability to reach beyond his base.

The good news if Trump becomes radioactive due to his legal issues, the good news that many of Trump supporters would be willing to support DeSantis. For many right now, Trump is the number one guy, but DeSantis is their alternative.

DeSantis showed his proficiency in a serious crisis, managing to keep his state’s economy afloat while outperforming Democrat governors Andrew Cuomo and Gavin Newsom throughout the pandemic. DeSantis’s goal of returning Florida to normal succeeded because he understood the virus and how best to deal with its aftermath by first concentrating on protecting the most vulnerable. His ability to vaccinate his citizens quickly compared favorably to many of his governor counterparts.

DeSantis combined competence with a drive and vision of how to tame the virus and get people back to work and children back to school. While many governors chose control and economic restrictions, DeSantis moved toward a freer economy. The one lesson for Republicans and conservatives that DeSantis teaches is not to depend upon the experts. DeSantis realized quickly that Dr. Anthony Fauci and others overestimated the lethality of the virus and underestimated the economic devastation of the lockdown. Others like Dr. Scott Atlas, Dr. John Ioannidis, Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, and Martin Kulldorff felt the lockdowns beyond the initial fifteen days in March and April 2020 would produce more deaths over the long term and damage the fabric of society. The price of lockdown would be too high, they contended, and DeSantis joined the lockdown skeptics. As it turned out, much of the criticism the lockdown skeptics made early in the pandemic proved valid and DeSantis demonstrated that the strategy they recommended was more effective than the punitive lockdown strategy. He also showed the politicization of the scientific class and the need to go beyond them to get better science to base policy on.

For Republicans, DeSantis showed that when given advice from experts, verify what they are saying is actually true and the policy recommendations they propose will not prove disastrous. The second lesson DeSantis provides is that. if the leadership class is wrong on an issue, challenge their advice and do not give in. DeSantis’s success in the pandemic like other Republican governors, including Kristi Noem, points the way for a new Republican Party that will combine conservative and free market principles and anchor those free market conservative principles to the new populism to build upon the Trump coalition. 

The original key to winning 2016 was for Republicans and conservatives to create an alliance that combines the concerns of diverse groups, including those who are concerned for gun rights, privacy rights, and those who fear the loss of religious freedom, in stopping expanding government while increasing economic freedom and economic opportunity. This coalition appeared threatened by Donald Trump’s national populism but as the 2016 election proceeded, Trump adopted many of the Republican Party’s ideas about reforming government spending and tax policies that promoted growth and opportunity. The Republican candidates who articulated a message of A Fair Opportunity to Succeed put themselves in the best position to win whether nationally, statewide, or in Congressional districts.

Trump showed that his populism can be combined with traditional free market ideas. His ideas on foreign policy was actually a return to what George W Bush campaigned in 2000, a more modest policy before 9/11. Trump view was not to expand conflict but to avoid them and reduce the present commitments. DeSantis is moving in the same direction.

Polls are not conclusive at this point. More recent polls show Trump taking a small lead over Biden but since the 2022 midterm, Biden is essentially tied with both Trump and DeSantis. In spite of Biden’s unfavorable rating, he is still within striking distance of both. This is one of those races that will change America and GOP must be right with their choices. Trump legal issues will impact his own standing as we move into 2024 and is there a time when one more indictment is one indictment too far?

Leaving Blue Paradise

Ken Griffin too his business, the hedge fund Citadel, out of Chicago to Florida and this represented a trend that has been occurring, many wealthy are saying goodbye New IRS data found for example that more than 100,000 people left Illinois and they took some billion dollars nearly double its 2019 and an in New York, some nearly 25 billion dollars has left the state and California loss 29 billion dollars. 

That people migrating from these states are taking not just money but their expertise leaves with them.  Those coming into these blue states earn $35,000 less than those they are replacing and in Florida, those who came into the state averaged 150,000 dollars whereas those who left averaged less than half.   For many of these states the golden goose that provided the golden eggs are going elsewhere.

The problem as Wall Street journal writer Allysia Finley observed, “Cities are losing the voters who keep their leaders from going off the rails.” In Chicago, Brandon Johnson won by 20,000 which is but small percentage of the 175,000 who left Cook County or as Finney noted, “These are the people the city needs to back on the rails.

This trends cut in two ways. First, many investors, business leaders and wealthy citizens are leaving and taking their wealth with them.  Second, they are leaving behind what is left of escape.

Meaning of Tucker

Tucker Carlson demise on Fox may lead to a new direction in the media. My own view of Tucker Carlson was mixed, while I viewed him as a unique voice that represented forgotten America, and his view was more of a populist view versus a conservative view. Fox big mistake was first letting him go but the second was the unceremonious way they let him go. The sudden way that Tucker was released showed the classness of Fox and equally as bad, a complete disrespect for their audience.

Tucker represent a wave of conservatism and the American public that is often ignored even by conservatism. Fox represent a more traditional conservative that came out of the sixties and become prevalent in the 1980’s. It should be pointed out that Reaganonomics worked for over two decades to raise the middle class from early 1980’s going into the 21st century. In the 1970’s, stagflation produce economic stagnation and many middle class found themselves in tax bracket reserved for the wealth a generation earlier.  Supply side tax cuts benefited the Middle Class and engineered a 25 year economic growth that extended into 21st century.

This century has been different as America has changed, the rise of China and movement of businesses moving their factories overseas including China and massive illegal immigration that had immigrants competing with many Americans on the lower income strata for jobs. For many Americans, income not only was stagnant but overall wealth decline as many saw their housing prices dropped and many more left the investor class as Americans investors dropped from 63 percent in 2007 to 53 percent. Millions of Americans lost opportunities to expand their overall wealth and saw instead their wealth decrease to go with stagnant income. Carlson noted to John Hinderaker, “I always thought that the dividing line between liberal and conservative was economic. And that conservatives were champions of the free market and liberals were very suspicious of it. That really was the dividing line for a long time. There were other demarcations, but that was the main one. And the free-market argument won. It did, thanks to a lot of things, but liberals during the Clinton years joined in celebrating market capitalism…I am still for the free market, but the middle class is dying, and that’s not one man’s opinion. That’s a fact rooted in data. It’s shrinking in size. The life expectancy of blue-collar America is declining. That’s never happened. So, you have to ask, what did we get wrong? What assumptions did we have that turned out to be untrue? Free trade brings prosperity? Yeah, but not to everybody.”

He added,” Oh, it’s over. Capitalism lost because the people in charge didn’t pay any attention to the effects at all, and so with the average millennial it is far less likely that his parents are married or own a home, he owns his own car, or they own two cars. We’ve saddled people with overwhelming levels of debt—student loan debt primarily, but other kinds, too—that we’ve basically crushed an entire generation of kids. And they’re really angry.”  He represent a thought by many who view that the system is rigged and has failed them. Even on the right, there are many like Carlson who don’t believe that market economy works for them. Carlson made the point I have made in my books, that for many including on the right, the movement left is moving economics. In my report “From Trump to Le Pen, Where Does Populism Ends Up?”  I observed, “France is where the future of the populist movement may lie if Trump fails to move his agenda and improve the lot of American workers. Marine Le Pen is not a traditional American conservative or even a believer in free market. Many of Le Pen’s views mirror the hard-core left, embodied by Jean-Luc Melenchon, including her promise to maintain the 35-hour work week and lower the retirement age to 60. (The two combined actually collected 42% of the vote in first round voting in the 2017 French Presidential election showing political strength.)”  Carlson added, “When people don’t get married and don’t buy homes and aren’t rooted in the society long term, they’re volatile and scary, and their politics tend to be crazy. It’s really bad. You don’t want to ever let that happen. We let it happen. We didn’t pay any attention at all. All of that money was transferred to the Baby Boomers, and they’re about to feel the effects of that because economic populism is the future. I don’t want it. I’m just telling you. I’d bet my house on it. Bernie Sanders is going to seem moderate compared to the next guy.”

On the left, Robert Kennedy Jr. opposition to the Covid vaccines mandates and the overall lost of freedom by various mandates including closing schools and businesses mirrored much on the right and his recent statement opposing central banking digital currency and remarking that one can be in favor of legal immigration and still oppose illegal immigration are uniting points for merging of the right and forces on the left.

Conservative are left with the task of combining an agenda that benefits the Middle Class and allow the poor to move up the economic ladder while defending free market economy. We are dealing with a culture war that is far larger than culture wars in the past. It is not just about abortion but also parents finding their daughters competing with transgender women (men) in sports and called bigots if they want their daughters to compete with only other women. It is about defending those basic principles that bring success like showing up to work on time, the do best you can in school and wait tuntil you are married before having children. These were values that wasn’t even debatable but advocating hem now marks you as supporting “White privilege.” We are living in a land where the cultural norm will be mediocrity as opposed to meritocracy.

Glenn Harlan Reynolds described the suicide of expertise: “It was the experts — characterized in terms of their self-image by David Halberstam in The Best and the Brightest — who brought us the twin debacles of the Vietnam War, which we lost, and the War On Poverty, where we spent trillions and certainly didn’t win. In both cases, confidential assertions by highly credential authorities foundered upon reality, at a dramatic cost in blood and treasure. Mostly other people’s blood and treasured, and these are not isolated failures.”

 Over the past decade, we have seen the Great Recession, due to a housing bubble engineered by existing laws and promoted by the best and brightest on Wall Street. Trump inherited a foreign policy debacle in the Middle East engineered by Obama’s experts, who produced a policy that led to hundreds of thousands of deaths, a million refugees headed for Europe, the rise of ISIS, and the upending of previous relations between the U.S. and the State of Israel. Nor can we forget the toppling of Moammar Gadhafi, which led to Libya becoming yet another sanctuary for Islamic terrorists and another places where refugees fled the Middle East for Europe. A year after the toppling of Gadhafi, attack on two United States facilities resulted in the death of Ambassador Christopher Stevens and three others.

Glenn Harlan Reynolds concluded, “If experts want to reclaim a position of authority, they need to make a few changes. First, they should make sure they know what they’re talking about, and they shouldn’t talk about things where their knowledge isn’t solid. Second, they should be appropriately modest in their claims of authority. And third, they should check their egos. It doesn’t matter what your SAT scores were, voters are under no obligation to listen to you unless they find what you say persuasive.” Modesty is not a trait that this generation of the Leadership class has demonstrated. The elites have done well while the ordinary folks in fly over country have seen their incomes plummet and their ability to make a fortune shrivel. The expert class who guided America from the 1940 to the 1960’s won a world war, designed a bipartisan policy of containment that prevented World War III and a victory over the Soviet Empire presided over by two members of that generation, Ronald Reagan, and George H.W. Bush. The Greatest Generation discovered vaccines for polio, antibiotics that saved lives, and sent a man to the moon. Jet planes and space flights were dreams that became reality and it was that generation that began to redress the wrongs done to our Black citizens. The present generation of experts may have given us computers, and the computing power in our hands is greater that what took Apollo flights to the Moon. While planes have become faster, the time to get from point A to B is longer and while cars may have advantages over the cars of the 1950’s, the average person in 1950 would have little trouble recognizing or driving what we drive today. There are no flying cars, and we are replacing reliable nuclear power with less reliable energy derived from wind and solar power. The electric car is a century-old technology that is hardly a major advance in automotive history. And again, where are the flying cars?

Tucker Carlson has shown the failure of the political class and on a daily basis, he pointed out their failures. Carlson is a voice that details the struggle of the forgotten American and idiocy that the Leadership class has imposed on them. Carlson chronicles the reality America is indeed standing on the Abyss.

Media failures

Fox recent firing of Tucker Carlson and it fiasco with Dominion shows that even conservative media can be corrupted and on key issues to its viewers, unreliable.   Fox is still more accurate than its competitors whose own laundry list includes the Russian collusion hoax, the cover up of the Hunter Biden laptop which impacted an election, following the party line of Tony Fauci and gang, even when it was totally wrong. Even to this day, outside of Fox and Newsmax, Tony Fauci is still adore despite his horrendous record.   This is just the tip of the iceberg.

Much of the mainstream media was always to the left but there was difference.  When I was running a congressional campaign against incumbent Democrat, there was a controversy over debating as my candidate’s opponent refuse to debate my candidate and a liberal reporter who covered our campaign caught my opponent campaign manager in a lie in which even made the evening news.  Today that would not even happen for a leftist Democrat campaign manager can lie all he wants and there will be no problem for him. The media would cover it all.

When Dan Rather broadcast a lie about George Bush national guard record during the 2004 election that could have changed the course of the election, he was called out by many pundits and blogger.  CBS investigated the aftermath of the story after it was debunked and fired Dan Rather and those responsible for the story.

After the Russian collusion hoax, Washington Post and New York Times won Pulitzer Prizes and after it was exposed as a hoax, no prizes were returned and even to this day not one reporter or broadcaster lost their jobs.  Many of those who perpetuated this hoax still appear on many broadcasts as experts.  No one ever paid the price.  Rather got fired and Rachel Maddow who added to her ratings promoting the hoax is still at MSNBC, still well paid.   

Real journalism still continues but not in the mainstream media.  Bari Weiss, Glenn Greenwald, and Matt Taibbi still practice their trade on substack and reach millions with their reporting.  (All three of these reporters are left of center but yet managed to report the stories that others will not touch.)

Glenn Greenwald often appear on Tucker Carlson, who was willing to allow an honest leftist journalist on his show and substack is the exception to the rule when it comes to journalism for real journalism is still practiced.

The media today is nothing more than state media, repeating the talking point of the Biden Administration and much of the political class. They don’t investigate or hold those in power accountable, instead they have morphed into being part of the political class understanding its role to promote the politically correct talking points while making sure that those journalists who buckThe the narrative are censored or sidelined. 

The twitter files demonstrated the close cooperation of the FBI, various other government agencies working with social media to censor stories not in line with the prevalent left-wing narrative and promoting their own agenda.  

As for the firing of Tucker Carlson and silencing him, Fox may be soon going into a different direction, but it would appear that it may no longer be the one mainstream media friendly to conservative causes or it will attempt to promote its version of establishment conservative and move way from the more populist wing of the right. The media is beholden to the political class and no longer the vehicle designed to hold the powerful accountable.

Carlson and Fox

Fox and Tucker Carlson have split, Fox willing to part with their number one star in an unexpected move. Tucker Carlson was the one pundit who understood the forgotten America and was willing to go outside the box when it came to thinking outside the box. My own view is that Fox is trying to redefine itself in the post Rupert Murdoch era and I suspect that Murdochs did not care for Carlson reporting on January 6th.

When it came to 2020 elections, Fox team missed the bigger story which Don Surber explained, “Dominion’s cheating was a distraction from the real evil of the 2020 election: ballot harvesting. Democrats were able to get people to vote from home. Voter participation leaped from 56% to 67% — setting a century high by a large margin. People voted from home because so many Americans are too lazy to go to the polls.”

I find it interesting that every network other than Fox could push the Russian Collusion hoax and no one ever paid the price, the Pulitzer prizes never returned when it became obvious this was fake. Elon Musk exposed through the twitter files the cooperation of social media and many government agencies in censoring stories that were detrimental to Biden campaign in 2020 and then detrimental to the Biden administration. Much of the media was quiet when it was released and still is. Don Surber added, “Russiagate’s lies cost no one their jobs. The cover-up of Hunter’s laptop cost no one their jobs. The lies about the Raid on Mar-a-Lago cost no one their jobs. Welcome to post-truth America. If Carlson is surprised, he has not been paying attention to what has happened to us. We are no longer a great nation because we are led by greedy little bastards who saw nothing wrong with Hillary emailing state secrets to Red China and to foreign donors of her fake charity while secretary of State. We are led by greedy little bastards who saw nothing wrong with Barack Hussein Obama using the FBI to spy on candidate Donald John Trump. We are led by greedy little bastards who saw nothing wrong with Biden withholding a billion dollars in aid to Ukraine until it fired the prosecutor who was investigating Burisma, the company that gave his worthless son an $800,000-a-year no-show job.”

As Megyn Kelly noted, Fox news had exclusive videos on January 6th and much of it told a different story that was reported.  Fox news department outside of Carlson did nothing with it and Carlson only spent two days on it, most likely due to pressure from within the network. We know that while many crashed through windows, others were invited in. One story that was not reported by the media and that Carlson found that many of the Capital police were not informed of intelligence that their leaders knew about the potential of violence but failed to pass on. Nancy Pelosi have never questioned or been forced to account for what she could have done to prevent what happened since she could have asked for more protection. She did not.

The reality is that much of the media has long since decline into state media and as for Fox, its successes was due to counterprogramming as they reached out to the audience that other media ignore, the 50 percent that was conservative or independent. Much of the media has always been dominated by the left but today, the façade of neutrality has been lifted and the media makes no pretense whose side they are on. CNN collapse was due to the end of the Trump presidency as the reason for its existence for the past several years was gone and many leftists simply got their news from MSNBC. Fox coming collapse will be due to many conservatives deciding that after Carlson firing that the network that catered to them no longer cares.

Carlson parting with Fox is as much about defining conservatism, the right is still trying to define what conservatism means today. Fox began its quest to be a conservative alternative but as but now we are asking what conservatism is. Carlson brand of conservatism combined questioning previous conservative ideas of foreign policy and wondering to what extent America’s role in the world and viewing much of big business in opposition to the spirit of America. He even questioned free market economy when he criticized other conservative for “worshipping free market as a religion and not a tool.”

Carlson, like Robert Kennedy, feared the power of big business and big government uniting and the threat of losing our civil liberties. What Carlson saw was the rise of oligarchy threatening to place much of the Middle Class into a neo feudal state, a warning that scholar and writer Joel Kotkin has detailed for years. The Covid pandemic exposed the collapsed of our leadership class and how much of our business class, scientific class and political class united to strip away much of a freedom to save us for a virus that may have killed 3 to 4 per 1000, not much higher than many flu pandemics. As I noted in my book, America at the Abyss, Will America Survive, we saw the biggest transfer of wealth from the small businesses and the Middle class to big corporations. We witnessed big Media tech working closing with government agencies to censor thoughts they did not like and the rise of misinformation racket in which the left and corporate media will decide what is truth. This will prove to be a serious threat to our civil liberties and even to the freedom of the press.

I will repeat the argument that I made in my book, the path to conservatism will be uniting the best of Reagan conservatism with Trump populism. Trump foreign policy was not an isolationist policy but a more modest policy that concentrated on our primary rival China and supported free market policies at home. His tax plan was similar to Reagan and while he was a protectionist at heart, the one treaty he redid, NAFTA, was essentially 90 percent the original treaty, allowing more goods allowed while adding minor protection for US workers.

Carlson is on the populist wing of the movement, defending the forgotten America but to win 2024, you have to combine what worked in the past into a program of providing the average American a fair opportunity to succeed. Market economy is not a religion but a pathway to protection of liberty and prosperity. The Democratic party is the socialist party of America, using government to protect those major corporations whose goals aligned with the Party starting with the Green new deal in which we move away from traditional industry such as fossil fuels industry. What Carlson and RFK, jr are rebelling against is not free market but the uniting of major corporations and big government in a corporativism vision in which government directs big businesses into an economic polices it desire. Those businesses that cooperate are guarantee their share of the marketplace and profits. This has been tried in the past and we would recognize by two names, National socialism, or fascism.

Carlson may not have been right on his solutions, but he was right in identifying the threat before us. As for Fox, it success was due to reaching out to those forgotten Americans. It appears Fox have forgotten that.

Climate Solutions worse than the Problem

I will admit that I am skeptical of the role humans play in climate change, but there are those less skeptical who will admit that coming climate change is manageable, not the serious problem we supposed it to be.

Let begin with the reality is that climate alarmists believe that the planet is overpopulated, and the industry required to keep this population fed and clothes is causing damaging climate warming that will cause massive famine and drought.

The problem with argument is that much of the past century proves the complete opposite.  As the planet warmed and the CO2 levels increased, the planet actually prospered as we ended up feeding more people better diets and millions left poverty to a middle-class life.  Realistically speaking, the alarmist can’t even prove that additional CO2 or warming is even bad, and a better case can be made that is actually good for the planet.

The solutions being proposed are the equal of the famous line in Vietnam, “We destroyed the village to save it.”   The alarmist mind set is similar, we will destroyed the planet to save it.  Their solutions will do exactly that.

The first aspect is the elimination of fossil fuels, but they have to develop substitute for fossil fuels and the most efficient replacement, nuclear energy, they oppose.  They support the least efficient form of energy solar and wind which can’t operate when the sun don’t shine, or the wind doesn’t blow.  Without back up from fossil fuels, these renewables are incapable of fueling modern economy.

The alarmist policies will make both food and energy policy more expensive, reducing its availability for billions of people.  We saw this in Sri Lanka when the government followed the advice of the climate alarmist ESG polices the country went from being food exporter to food importer, the economy and government collapsed.  Netherlands in attempt to reach EU carbon neutral goals have forced farmers to close farms and Canada is following up with similar stupid ideas.  These policies, happening in nations who are substantial food exporters, will reduce the yield of food produced and raise prices.  The first victim will be those who are dependent upon these exports and many in the third world will have less food and more starvation.  Billions will die as result of these policies, not by changes in climate.  Without fossil fuels, the ability to get food to the market will be compromised as those vehicles responsible will be eliminated.

The restriction of fossil fuels production in the United States have led to a rise in energy prices, and as Alex Epstein noted, we have only seen 1 to 2 percent of what the climate alarmist wants and created an energy emergency. Imagine what if we get the whole plan they want to do.

Fossil fuels are needed to expand food supplies and reduce them will lead to the opposite.   When climate alarmist claims that changes in climate will lead to massive famine, that is wrong. It is the policies that will lead them.  In the past century, famines were not the creation of climate but government policies.  They were man-made phenomenon and these policies recommendation to reduce farming yields will create man-made famines.

The other aspect of climate alarmists is that they want a colder climate even though a colder climate will lead to shorter growing season and more famine.  They are even thinking of geo-engineering by attempts to block sunlight to create a colder planet.  More people normally die in colder weather than warmer weathers, so you have to ask why to create or desire a colder climate?

You have the Biden administration and various Democratic government wanting to eliminate combustible cars in favor of electric car.  Considering there are significant disadvantages to electric vehicles just as charging time, overall limitation in miles specifically in colder weather and are more expensive. With less range and priced out of many Middle-income Americans budget, many Americas will find their personal travel options limited.  The elimination of gas-powered car will hamper the ability of many Americans to advance economically.   The battle over natural gas stove oven is another battle that will increase the cost of cooking a meal for many Middle Class.

The solutions we are hearing are about reducing our living standards and destroying the economic system responsible for our economic growth to begin with.  These solutions are anti-people and not pro-environment since they do little to help the environment or reduce CO2 emission. 

Marc Morano and others made the case that the pandemic emergency were a dress rehearsal to declare a climate emergency to force changes.   The reality is that pandemic lockdown were a complete failure by every measure.  We saw lost incomes, small businesses forced out of business, children not getting educated and many people failed to follow up on treatment for serious health issues.  When you add various variables, no lives were save in lockdown states or countries versus those who did not lockdown or open up their economy earlier, but they fell behind economically and children suffered in education with minorities and the poor suffering the worse.  Hundreds of millions of people worldwide were put on the verge of starvation. 

If you repeat this on with a climate change emergency, you can substitute hundreds of millions to billions on the verge of starvation.  Much of the scientific community who favored the lockdowns, did so based bad or manipulated data and skeptics were proven right.  Much of climate science has serious flaws and their solutions are worse than the problem they diagnosed.  The scientific community showed serious flaws as they prized consensus over science during the Covid pandemic and they are no different from climate science where consensus is prized over science.  The solutions proposed will produced billion of deaths, all man made.  We have more to fear from the solutions than a warmer planet.