

Total death of Red vs Blue states

Death per state and note Red states less death.

more death per capita in blue states



Total death of Red vs Blue states
Death per state and note Red states less death.
more death per capita in blue states
Here is interesting thought. How much of the deaths reported are not necessarily caused by Covid but people who die with Covid? In Colorado, they have two set of numbers, one number they report and a second they try more accurately to determine if Covid was the cause.
Colorado data may show 20% of deaths not caused by Covid. Florida is now estimating as high as 40% If they are both right, we are talking 180,000 deaths to 240,000 deaths. Still high by past flu pandemic past decade. 2018 flu based on similar infection and population, would be 160,000.
Considering that I have been 90 percent plus correct with many of my numbers in March and April on the Lockdown impact on the economy, IFR, the number of undiagnosed cases of Covid outnumbering diagnose case and the number of mild cases far higher than was being reported in April.
The one area I underestimated was the number of infections. Past flu season, we have seen seen 45 to 60 million infected, which means 20% or less of the population infected before the virus disappeared. According to CDC, we may have 100 to 110, 000 infected.
That is a third of the population. There are many reasons including novelty of the virus or the lockdown delaying the normal transmission or the virus but Covid has infected nearly double of the flu season normally does.
This could account for the half of the deaths we have seen. Thoughts? I underestimated how many people would get infected. So this is part of the 10% or less I got wrong. Still impressive track record and better than 80% of those commenting on this.
Data unemployment through May and claims % of civilian Population June 13 Democrats average include DC and not include DC.
May unemployment | Claims % of civilian population | |
Dem average/DC | 14.1 | 13.8 |
Dem average | 14.3 | 13.6 |
Rep average | 11.4 | 9.5 |
Deaths per capital
Death per capita death per million | |
Dem average/DC | 418.3 |
Dem average | 404 |
Rep average | 210 |
may 2nd | may 23rd | May 30th | June 6th | Death per capita | |
South Dakota | 6% | 5.60% | 4.50% | 4.60% | 83 |
Utah | 6.20% | 5.30% | 5.10% | 5.10% | 40 |
Idaho | 8.70% | 6.70% | 5.90% | 5.60% | 48 |
Nebraska | 6.90% | 6.40% | 6.10% | 6.10% | 101 |
Arizona | 7% | 7% | 6.20% | 6.20% | 155 |
Wyoming | 7.20% | 7.20% | 6.50% | 6.30% | 31 |
Indiana | 9.60% | 8.50% | 7.80% | 7.40% | 354 |
Kansas | 9.70% | 8.20% | 7.90% | 7.60% | 83 |
Missouri | 9.40% | 9.20% | 8.20% | 8% | 142 |
Maryland | 8.80% | 8.60% | 8.30% | 8.50% | 476 |
Alabama | 10.60% | 9.50% | 8.90% | 8.50% | 154 |
Colorado | 8.10% | 8.80% | 8.10% | 8.70% | 276 |
Arkansas | 9.50% | 9.30% | 8.80% | 8.80% | 55 |
Montana | 12.40% | 9.80% | 9.40% | 8.90% | 17 |
Wisconsin | 11.40% | 10% | 9.50% | 9.10% | 115 |
North Dakota | 11% | 9.60% | 9.50% | 9.30% | 97 |
Texas | 9.80% | 10% | 10.80% | 9.30% | 66 |
Ohio | 13.20% | 11.30% | 10% | 9.40% | 211 |
Virginia | 9.80% | 9.80% | 9.60% | 9.50% | 178 |
Tennessee | 11.10% | 10.40% | 10% | 9.70% | 64 |
South Carolina | 12.70% | 11.10% | 10% | 9.70% | 112 |
Iowa | 11.90% | 11.30% | 9.90% | 9.80% | 203 |
Florida | 5.70% | 6.50% | 7.80% | 10% | 122 |
Oklahoma | 12.10% | 9.10% | 11.20% | 10.90% | 90 |
North Carolina | 13.10% | 11.80% | 11.30% | 11% | 105 |
Infection per millions | |
Spain | 4022 |
Switzerland | 3129 |
Italy | 2852 |
Belgium | 3118 |
Austria | 1619 |
Germany | 1653 |
Norway | 1280 |
Portugal | 1866 |
Netherlands | 1777 |
France | 2528 |
Ireland | 2688 |
Israel | 1500 |
USA | 2072 |
Denmark | 1228 |
Sweden | 1309 |
UK | 1608 |
Canada | 813 |
South Korea | 207 |
Australia | 253 |
Death by millions | |
Spain | 417 |
Switzerland | 153 |
Italy | 376 |
Belgium | 445 |
Austria | 46 |
Germany | 50 |
Norway | 30 |
Portugal | 64 |
Netherlands | 202 |
France | 275 |
Ireland | 98 |
Israel | 17 |
USA | 107 |
Denmark | 59 |
Sweden | 139 |
UK | 215 |
Canada | 33 |
South Korea | 4 |
Australia | 3 |
Infection per millions | Death by millions | |
Spain | 3690 | 386 |
Switzerland | 2997 | 136 |
Italy | 2368 | 338 |
Belgium | 2685 | 359 |
Austria | 1580 | 43 |
Germany | 1568 | 39 |
Norway | 1222 | 26 |
Portugal | 1711 | 56 |
Netherlands | 1600 | 172 |
France | 2195 | 241 |
Ireland | 2325 | 8582 |
Israel | 1392 | 14 |
USA | 1829 | 77 |
Denmark | 1124 | 52 |
Sweden | 1133 | 102 |
UK | 1383 | 178 |
Canada | 713 | 24 |
South Korea | 206 | 4 |
Australia | 251 | 2 |
infected | tested | |
US | 605,354 | 3,037,362 |
Italy | 162,541 | 1,073,689 |
UK | 93,873 | 382,587 |
S Korea | 10,664 | 527,538 |
Germany | 131,359 | 1,317,887 |
France | 143,303 | 333,807 |
Spain | 172,541 | 600,000 |
Switzerland | 25,936 | 199,000 |
Belgium | 31,119 | 102,541 |
Netherlands | 27,419 | 134,932 |
Canada | 26,897 | 437,475 |
Sweden | 11,445 | 54,700 |
Australia | 6,400 | 366,593 |
Norway | 6,551 | 127,305 |
Denmark | 6,511 | 74,210 |
Israel | 12,046 | 117,399 |
Portugal | 17,447 | 182,707 |
total | 1,491,406 | 9,069,732 |