Tweet 9/7

Tonight I had a brilliant analysis on my recent research and easily swept my critics arguments. “Ignores so many factors, especially the big death tolls early on in the big blue cities. Gop states have so many advantages and yet death rate the same as blue states” My response: The Democrat bigger states had 57% whites, 31% Blacks and Hispanics and 8 % Asians vs GOP 56% Whites, 34% Black and Hispanics and 4% Asians. If there is any advantages, it belongs to Democratic states.

My response is simple. Professor Reilly research for our foundation noted in three studies, there was no significant difference in death per capita with non-lockdown studies and lockdown, Republican states vs Democratic states.

But saw significant difference in unemployment between Republican and Democratic States plus lockdown vs non lockdown states. My data collection mirrors his. He included variable just as Density population

But saw significant difference in unemployment between Republican and Democratic States plus lockdown vs non lockdown states. My data collection mirrors his. He included variable just as Density population.

“You’ve not taken into account that worst deaths in Democratic-run states was in the very early days of the pandemic when next-to-nothing was known about how to deal with the virus. GOP-run states COULD have learned from that to avoid deaths, but chose not to. ” Yes we did

Professor Reilly research for our foundation and my own research took this in account. Following bigger states, we found significant difference in unemployment with Democratic states with higher unemployment and higher death per capita.

The Democrat bigger states had 57% whites, 31% Blacks and Hispanics and 8 % Asians vs GOP 56% Whites, 34% Black and Hispanics and 4% Asians. If there is any advantages, it belongs to Democratic states.

GOP states and non lockdown states had 4-4.5% vs Democratic states 5.9-6.6%. What Lockdown supporters have failed to acknowledge the trade off in chronic diseases not being properly treated or not diagnosed early,

My research associates and I have produced four studies on the impact on the lockdown over the past years from April 2020 to May 2021 and another one will come sometimes this fall. We looked at racial demographics, density of population and other variables.

We looked at different definitions of what constitute a Republican states and Democratic states. Many researchers had their definition of constitute a GOP states and Democratic states. All of these research had similar results no matter how you define these states.

We looked GOP states in two ways, Republican governors and Democratic governors or if a state had a complete control of government by one party. The results were the same, no significant differences in deaths but big differences in unemployment.

As I will mention in a upcoming book, it is hard to tell where the pandemic impact hurt the economy and where bad government policies hurt the economy. We been in the midst of recovery since the end of May 2020 but Democratic governors and Biden economic policies is slowing down the recovery. We should have a stronger recovery, lower unemployment than present and less government debt and spending. Less inflation. I will repeat, the Lockdown and economic restrictions failed. My data and others proves it!!!

Changing of the Guard

Jenson Booksby won the first set against Novak Djokovic 6-1. and while Djokovic won the next three sets but the 20 year old showed potential of being contender for a major. He is a grinder, similar to a young Nadal.

British Emma Raducanu easily beat Shelby Rogers who just took care of the number seeded Barty. She is now in the quarter finals along with Leyhla Fernandez, anotheer 18 year old.

Carlos Alcaraz is another 18 year old male who is also in the quarterfinals. Djokovic is 34 as he goes for number 21 and a calendar grand slam. In the women Tennis, we are seeing potentially two stars who can be the next super stars.

US Open continues

The youth brigade continues, as Carlos Alcaraz, Spain’s 18-year-old sensation, beat German qualifier Peter Gojowczyk to move into the quarterfinal, 5-7, 6-1, 5-7, 6-2, 6-0 for his first time.

Leylah Fernandez upset Angelique Kerber a former champion 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 to continue her run as she reaches the quarter final.

Jay Brooksby faces his toughest test as he faces Djokovic but it has been a good tournament for the youngster.

Tweet September 5th


R
eceived interesting comments from all sides but no one has bothered to discuss the wide difference in unemployment and ask or answer the question, was the trade off of the lockdowns and economic restrictions worth the higher unemployment?

Updated data on states: among GOP governors, the average death per capita was 184 to 180 for Democratic states. That represent 2% difference. Top 8 populous states, There is 221 deaths per 100,000 in Democratic states vs 204 in GOP states. This represent a 8% difference-GOP.S

No real statistic difference in deaths but major differences in unemployment. Proof the Lockdowns failed in saving lives but economic damage was far worse.

Democrat run states had 20 per 100,000 less death but 2300 per 100,000 more unemployed. Overall 2 per 100,000 more people died from Covid in GOP states but Democrats had 2000 per 100,000 unemployed. That is the trade off.212S

Updated data on states: among GOP governors, the average death per capita was 184 to 180 for Democratic states. That represent 2% difference. Top 8 populous states, There is 221 deaths per 100,000 in Democratic states vs 204 in GOP states. This represent a 8% difference-GOP.

Put it this way. Among 50 states, there was 1600 per 100,000 more people unemployed under Democrat governors, 2100 per 100,000 in most populous states, and among Democratic control states, 2300 per 100,000 more unemployed for an average of 2000 per 100,000 per unemployed.

In the first study, 4 per 100,000 died from Covid in GOP states but they had stronger economy with 1600 more per 100,000 employed. Among bigger states, the GOP governors have lower death and lower unemployment.

New Generation appearing

A friend asked me, with Nadal, Federer, and the Williams not appearing, what the fans would be. The first match I witnessed, the fans were quiet during the Keys-Stephens match but as the match moved forward, the fans got more into it and by the third set, the fans were roaring and continued to roar throughout the week.

Listening to the fans during the Alcaraz – Tsitsipas match and Osaka-Fernandez, the two 18 years had fans roaring for them. Many watching may have felt, they were watching the future of Tennis. This whole week, the fans were glad to be watching and many players loved the roar of the crowd, which was missing from 2020 Open, a tournament played in front of empty stands.

As for Osaka, she is now considering a break from Tennis, saying there is no joy in Tennis.

Wow at US Open

Friday some great things happening, Osaka got away with two code of violations in the tiebreak of the second set. Ready for to serve the set and match, Naomi got broke and simply melted down in the tie break, throwing her racket and walking off the court. More on the third set.

Sloan Stephens had her match in control with one set in the bag and looks like she was in command but Kerber won next two sets 6-2, 6-3. This was Kerber first victory over Stephens over their last six matches.

Carlos Alcaraz won a thrilling five set against Tsilsipas in a big upset. The 18 year old at times look like he was wilting under the pressure of the event but yet he manage to stay in the game. He lost the fourth set 6-0 but he went toe to toe with Tsilsipas, forcing a tie break, which he won. 7-5

Osaka lost to Fernandez in the third set 6-4 as Fernandez broke Osaka first set in the third and held her serve. Osaka looked rattled in the first three games but she finally regained her composure. Fernandez had her A game and didn’t let this opportunity slip.

Fernandez and Alcaraz may be the future of Tennis making noise this US Open.

US Open

For those who cares, a little more than 50% of Tennis players are not vaccinated. It will be interesting to see if Corona virus plays a role. In a discussion with LA Batchelor, my point is that while I will not force a player to get vaccines, players have to take the risk that they will get sick and be out of the tournament. Of course, you may get Covid even if you are vaccinated.

With both Williams’ sister out of this US Open, what we have known now for the past years is official, the new era in women Tennis has begun. Naomi Osaka has now won four majors since 2018 and if there is one player who can replace the Williams sister both in winning and appeal, it is her.

Coco Gaulf is a seventeen year old phenom who may be the best for the Americans over the next decade. She defeated Magda Linnette but her inconsistency showed. She was up 5-3 in first set and ready to wrap it all but she lost 4 games in a row to lose the first set 7-5 and then started the second set but losign the first two games before taking 6 of the next 7 games. She won the third set and faced Sloan Stephens who just four years ago was the great American hope in the post Williams era when she won the US Open.

Stephens faced Madison Keys in a match would have considered a second week match up both women found themselves facing each other in the first round. Stephens took the first set 6-3 before Keys pounded Stephens 6-1. The third set was nip and tuck before being settled in a tie break. Stephens won her first match and then dominated the younger Gaulf, winning in two sets. (

Novak Djokovic is seeking history with a first men calendar grand slam since Rod Laver did it in 1969. (On the women side, Stephi Graff accomplished this in 1988. Novak is chasing history in not just in a calendar grand slam but if he wins the open, he will have more majors than any other men for the moment as both Federer and Nadal are not at the US Open.

Censorship

Alex Berenson is no longer on twitter because he dares to offer alternatives to the groupthink about Covid. While I didn’t always agree with Alex, I did find what he tweeted worth reading simply because he reviewed data and found many flaws in those data.

Like many of us, Berenson question the science behind the lockdowns and the economic restrictions that accompany the lockdowns. Berenson was part of a movement, proving the futility of the lockdown.

In May of 2020, I came out in favor of the living with the virus since I viewed the damage the lockdown would prove worse than the damage from the virus. Here we are year and half later, and we lockdown skeptics have been proven right.

More young people have died from suicide and drug overdoses than the virus. Studies have shown how many are not seeking treatment for diseases, thus adding to death totals. In a recent study, 17% indicated they would avoid to seek treatment because of the fear of Covid. This is one of many studies showing the impact of the lockdown and fear of Covid

Reality one: We are looking at a virus that kills over all 2 to 4 per 1000. Contrast this to average flu season which the IFR was 1 per 1000 and we have had pandemics like in 1957 which killed 2 to 3 per 1000, similar to what we are seeing now. Below survival rate by age

This is a virus that hits the oldest and most vulnerable with underlying condition.

As this chart shows, younger patients are more likely to die from the flu than Corona virus.

The economic damage has been immense. Those states who lockdown or had economic restrictions, ended up with higher unemployment.

As you can see, GOP states and non-lockdown states had lower unemployment overall. This has been consistent from the beginning of the the pandemic. We have failed to see the cost of the lockdowns and unemployment.

There are studies that question the efficacy of the masks and the society cost of the vaccine passport. Europe is reducing or eliminating masks mandates for students whereas we still debating on mask mandates despite the science. Skeptics are right and censoring those who are right is hardly beneficial but feeds in the distrust that is accompanying the present debate.

Working toward the future

A few thoughts about the Democratic and Republican Party. For Republicans, it is a question in the foreseeable is whether Trump will run in 2024 or a new generation of Republicans take hold.

The problem with Trump is that while he garner the base, he brings out the opponents as well. Are we ready for yet another 78 year old candidate after the Biden years? And can Trump take the Party forward, learn from his mistakes, or will he be unable to control his worse instincts and unable to broaden the coalition? While we made progress within the minority communities, Cygnal pollster Brent Buchanan noted, “This trendline is much clearer than the previous graph, showing where Democrats are gaining in areas that are growing and where Republicans are picking up support in stagnating or declining counties.” We lost a good portion of suburban voters in 2020 and can GOP recapture many of the suburban voters, the GOP is will have difficulty finding a permanent majority.

Democrats have their own problems since they are the Socialist Party of America and in the first six months, their proposals is failing and could lead to a complete collapse of the economy. While most Democrats would deny they are socialist, their proposals are definitely the most radical.

Among those things include:

  1. Elimination of industries, like the fossil fuels and force industries to manufacture what the government wants like electric cars.
  2. Open Border, allowing illegal immigration and weakening country identity.
  3. Theories like Critical race theories will undermine what America should be and teach a future generation that America is a racist society but yet, force America to live in a separated society by class and race.
  4. Taxing the productive part of society, expanding the welfare state and spending trillion of dollars while seeing inflation increasing.
  5. Biden is begging OPEC to increase production while he shuts our own energy production.
  6. Afghanistan proving to be a big disaster and that has strengthen our enemies while upsetting our allies.

Democrats have shown that their philosophy has been a complete failure, but GOP has to convince America they have a plan to change America for the best.

As I mention before, what we have seen with Biden would have been seen with any other Democrats.

Biden blows it

From Nigel Farage,

“But if [terror attacks] start to happen again and we start to think, well, how do we go out again and try and stop these cells that are spreading international terror? How can we do it with the Americans? How can we do it with an ally that is treating us with contempt and betrayed us and into the bargain, many of our own citizens…Certainly, if it’s a Biden or Harris administration, honestly, there is no way, there is no way a British parliament right now would vote for military cooperation with America led by this administration. And that’s a very sad thing to say, because since 1917, the UK and America have been side by side in virtually every major conflict. We’ve been the closest allies in terms of military action, in terms of intelligence sharing, in terms of culture, in terms of business…“You couldn’t have a better ally in the world. Right at the moment, I’m sorry, but there’s no way we could enter into another operation with you.”

Biden has now managed to screw up our closet ally. Good job Joe.