Lessons that need to be learned

The most important lesson to learn is that lockdown were a complete failure! There is enough data to show that more people will die as result of the lockdown than lives saved. One study showed that over the next two decades 1.3 million will die prematurely or had already died, more than doubled what number died from corona virus. Below, we saw younger patients already suffered.

As our data has shown, the economic damage were worse in more restricted states without any decrease in deaths. With no difference in deaths among the less restricted and more restricted, the failure of lockdowns becomes obvious.

View it this way, the average flu season Infectious fatality rate over the past decade was .1 or 1 per thousands with ranges from .03 to .17. (3 per 10,000 in 2009 or 1.7 per 1000 in 2018) The pandemic of 1957 and 1968 were at least .2 or 2 per 1000 if not little higher. It is estimated on a per capita basis, 160,000 to 200,000 deaths today. (It should be noted that the population were younger and most likely healthier so that would explain some of the differences in death.)

While Fauci testify that this virus would be ten times the flu in March of 2020, he proved to be wrong. IFR proved to shown .2 to .4 (2 to 4 per thousands). Fauci was off by 2.5 to 5 times his testimony. This miscalculation laid the basis for the lockdown. The original lockdown was designed for 15 days and if they had happened, we were recovered quickly. This was more a natural disaster and our economy was strong enough to recover quickly. As I have shown, we should be around 4% unemployment and a strong recovery going more broader than what we are witnessing.

This virus was not the Spanish flu as the Spanish flu killed on a per capita basis at least three times the present deaths and IFR lower. Other than many of the elderly, most age group would be close or lower than the flu. Strange virus compared to the flu.

Bottom line you don’t crash an economy for a virus that at worse would kill 4 per 1000. And by concentrating on most vulnerable, lives will be save and we can get back to normal.