vaccines

I have been vaccinated so I am not anti vaxxer. My view on the vaccines are as following.

  1. Those who have underlying diseases or conditions, 50 years and over, taking immunosuppressive therapies should be vaccinated.
  2. I don’t believe in mandatory vaccines or vaccine passports.
  3. Women between age 30 and 50, have a one in million chance of blood clots so women talk to their doctors. I suspect most doctors will support women getting a vaccines.
  4. If you are under 30 and healthy, check with your doctors since you may get pericarditis or myocarditis maybe 1 in 10,000 to 1 in 100,000 based on CDC data. Talk to your doctor.
  5. Parents should talk with their children doctor and decide if the benefits outweigh the risks. Children are less likely to transmit and risk any serious impact from the virus unless they have underlying conditions. (Any Children with underlying conditions, refer to step one).

My own view is that government own PR relations has been a disaster, telling people you need to wear a mask after vaccination is not just bad PR but also bad science. The vaccine works and even in breakthrough virus, the virus appears less serious.

As for the Delta variant, the British data are encouraging. The Brits are seeing less deaths, less hospitalization and some of the data released is 1/5 to 1/10th of the original virus when it comes to death.

  1. The reason for these data begins with vaccinations and the fact that many have immunity due to having the virus.
  2. The virus may be mutating toward less virulent virus.

Kevin Roche of Healthy Skeptic noted on education, “We need, and I am doing everything I can to get this, clear information that shows 1) cases, hospitalizations and deaths by vaccination status, with fully vaccinated people defined in two ways, one is 14 days after second dose, and the other is a month after second dose; 2) the age structure of those cases in each group, vaxed and unvaxed; 3) the distribution of cycle numbers in at least a sample of recent cases in each group; and 4) for hospitalizations, how may of these are actually people who got hospitalized and tested positive versus those actually admitted for CV-19 disease.  If we could just get this information on a regular basis we would be able to dispel a lot of misinformation…The other thing we really need is for a big campaign to educate the public about what adaptive immunity is and that what we are seeing isn’t inconsistent with vaccines working.  People still haven’t been given a clear picture of how respiratory virus epidemics tend to work and what the effect of vaccines is.  They don’t and can’t stop exposure.  They can and do stop serious disease, with a lesser effectiveness among those with weakened immune systems.”

Our failure has been a failure of educating the public risk and the benefit. Roche added, “So governments have only themselves to blame for vaccine hesitancy.  If they had just been honest and completely forthcoming from the start, they would have some credibility left.  Instead they have people suspicious about side effects and now suspicious about whether the vaccines even work.  And now we are fighting this binge of completely misleading information about the vaccines and cases.”

Roche summarizes the future of this virus, ”  I don’t know how many times I can keep saying that this virus isn’t going away, it will be here, we will adapt to it and it will be similar to flu or even less dangerous.” We may be seeing the virus adopting and we are adopting to virus.

What we don’t need is restrict the economy and another mask mandates. We are past that. It is time to live with the virus.


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