Why I am skeptical

The number one thing often missing in economics is not taking human ingenuity in account. That is why we are feeding more people today or that the world has become wealthier. Part of it began with Reagan Revolution and collapsed of Communism. India began its own reform.

South Korea showed what happens when markets are allowed as this country went from being one of the poorest to one of the richest within 50 years.

The biggest threat that we have is reversing the trends that made up for this success. We won’t see famine or poverty as result of a warmer planet but if we retreat from economic freedom and move toward socialism in the West and the developed countries.

The threat from warmer planet is overrated (look up the history and you will see humans in the past did better when the planet was warmer. It is recorded in the history book. ) More people die in colder weather than warmer and science backs that up.

Markets, Energy

This represent a serious of tweets on Energy with another individual.

It is amazing that over the years, we were told we are running out of energy but yet we keep finding even more.https://investors.com/politics/commentary/we-are-not-running-out-of-oil-earth-produces-crude/… This individual is wrong for so many reason and one reason Bonus doesn’t understand free market or study the energy market over the past decades

FROM Bonus i Sorry to burst your somewhat fragile bubble but fossil fuels are going to be replaced whether you like it ir not. Reason: they are finite and over 90% of the population of the world is covered by governments who signed up to the Paris accord.

From Bonus What year will we run out of fossil fuels? Do you understand the exponential growth function?

Me: Not anytime soon, do you not understand economics? Note also that if you examine past predictions of what we have left, it often UNDERESTIMATED energy sources. So you are debating the wrong person, I read your data and mine is superior. We are nowhere near running out.

Bonus Then what year? At what rate of annual growth in consumption?

Me: Well tell me what year do you predict? Let me explain this so even you can understand. We don’t know since we are finding more than expected with newer technology like fracking. So if you can’t answer the questions and you can’t, then history is our guide.

Bonus The problem you have is exponential growth. Do you know why?

Me: You are working on the assumption that we have a specific finite materials and refuse to see that we are finding more than original predictions. If you predict x and we find y which is triple of x, due to new technology then we have totally different scenario.

I find your point of exponential growth irrelevant since we have not clue what we will be able to find at the right price. What is expensive to find today is not tomorrow, then we find more. Your exponential growth is based that you think we have x amount.

We are at impasse since you coming from we have a limited amount and I am making the point that what we think we have today UNDERESTIMATE what we might have since new technology may find more price reasonable. I get your point

Just look at population, we were told for 200 plus years we have finite resources to support population but we find that due to human ingenuity, we find more resources supporting growing population. Exponential growth in population theories have already been proven wrong.

From Larry Fedewa

The Dems’ huge gamble

By Dr. Larry Fedewa (November 2, 2019) The Democrat Party of the United States of America has apparently adopted the following strategy:
Put forth a list of second- and third-rate candidates for their 2020 Presidential nomination, almost all of whom represent positions on the significant issues of health care, immigration, environment, the Constitution, and foreign policy which are so far to the Left that they are never going to attract the majority support of the American electorate.To make this decision work, they made a frantic, last minute attempt to remove the current President by the vote of one house of the legislature, even though the Senate, which is controlled by the Republican Party — which must convict the President by a 2/3 majority — is virtually certain the exonerate the President, thus leaving the President in office.Nevertheless, proceed with the impeachment on the assumption that the process can be manipulated in such a way as to stain the President’s name and reputation and thereby divert enough independent voters to defeat Donald J. Trump in his quest for a second term.  The goal appears to be to stir up so much hatred of Mr. Trump that the Democrat will win no matter who it is, washed into office by a flood of negative views of Trump and his Administration.

The customary strategy for an American election is to spend the pre-primary season testing one or more favored candidate(s) and discover whether their early choices have the required qualities to defeat the sitting president. If the field does not look strong enough, the elders of the party would start looking for a better candidate. To their credit, they did convince Joseph Biden to join the campaign, but that does not seem to be working too well.

Instead of this conventional approach, someone has convinced the Party to go with the impeachment strategy. From the outside at least, this looks like a death wish. If the goal is to sway public opinion to vote against Donald J. Trump at any cost, the early signs are suggesting that this strategy is having the opposite effect. This should not be surprising, given the basic proposition beneath the rhetoric, namely: the Dems want to remove the legitimately elected president by act of Congress and thereby usurp the prerogative of the electorate to decide whether Mr. Trump should be reelected or not. If the impeachment were to lead to his removal from office a few months before an election, the American public would never get the chance to make that decision. The polls show that this idea is not going over too well with the public.
On the other hand, President Trump’s record as President is filled with extraordinary accomplishments. The latest is his Syrian/Turkey/Kurd policy, which appears to have settled a nearly one-hundred-year old dispute between the Turks and the Kurds/Syrians. This is a monumental accomplishment, worth the price of allowing Russia to solidify its influence with all the parties. Let the Russians worry about the Kurds. As long as we have control of the oil and retain air support and Special Ops capability, the Kurds may be able to get along without us. We can then continue our withdrawal from the Middle East.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            This is only the latest achievement in a long list that this President has succeeded in executing. Besides changing the direction of the economy and trade policy, he has fulfilled many of his other campaign promises as well. If he can engineer a new trade agreement with China, and begin removing the tariffs, his record will be even harder to beat.
This makes his reelection much more likely. If the Dems want to beat him in 2020, they had better come up with a better plan. The current one won’t get the job done. In fact, it makes one wonder what on earth they are thinking?
(c) Richfield Press 2019. All rights reserved.

Notes from Nancy Hartwell interview on Donelson Files

Interesting conversation on Human Trafficking with Nancy Hartman on Donelson Files. A few facts: 1. at least 30 million held against their will.

2. Slavery is against the law in most countries but it continues in these countries and some conservative Islamic country, legal

3. One country in which slavery and workers forced to work against their will. Qatar in which one death a day occurs to build stadium for World Cup 2022. Maybe we should 2022 World Cup, the blood cup.

4. Slaves work as sex workers, nail salons, shoe manufacturing and farming.

5. 200,000 estimated in US, come in through our ports or Southern Border.

6. Majority of victims under 18 but college aged women, and even some men or boys are also victim.

7. Discussed Female Genital mutilation

8. Ms. Hartman also details how to prevent it and what steps to take. Worth listening to today Donelson Files.

Tweets

The following are tweets directed to a twitter friend about the firing of Susan Crockford who destroyed the mythology that Polar Bears are decreasing in numbers due to climate change and Michael Mann lawsuit against Tim Ball.

What I find fascinating is that Mann and others can equate Climate Skeptics with Holocaust deniers (thus the origin of the term deniers) and others phrases but criticized these guys, it becomes a court case. They can dish it out but not take it.

Plus their strategy of lawsuits is to bankrupt their opponents or silence them since they are not interested in a scientific debate. If they had a fair scientific debate, they would lose.

I would invite anyone to see various interchanges that alarmists get involved in with skeptics, alarmist more often lose. Even when they set the rules of engagement, their science is inferior.

I have seen Marc Moreno destroy scientists with ease. Most alarmist won’t debate skeptics and even Galvin Schmidt won’t go face to face after losing to Lindzen a few years back. If Skeptics science is weak, they should not be able to hold their own or defeat alarmists.

Finally the various thread I follow, I notice how these same alarmist who talk we must worship science supported the firing of Crockford and no where to be seen to defend academic freedom when Ridd was fired.

Yes not one alarmists on these threads found any mistakes with Crockford’s work. Enough said.

From Larry Fedewa

Among the many absurd accusations being carelessly hurled around by the Democrats these days is the most absurd of all: that the President is violating the Constitution. In fact, we are seeing another example of the Left’s habit of accusing the President – and conservatives in general – of committing the very crimes that they themselves have actually committed.
The most egregious example of this behavior is the Democrats’ accusations that the Trump campaign colluded with the Russians to overthrow the 2016 election, when in fact the Clintons and their campaign had a long – and very profitable — influence-peddling scheme going on, using the Clinton Foundation as their cover – to the tune of over $100 million! Even the Mueller fiasco could not find evidence of Trump involvement.


In this case, Nancy Pelosi, through Adam Schiff, Jerrold Nadler and their cohorts, have all but destroyed any U.S. president’s ability to carry on foreign policy. What leader of a foreign government is going to want to talk confidentially with the American president when they have a well-founded fear of their conversation being broadcast to the public? The same goes for American diplomats.


What about the president talking with his own people? Executive privilege is a necessary prerogative in order for the president to perform his job of leading this massive administrative state. The Dems are heedlessly trying to destroy this necessary shield by their subpoenas of Administration officials to present testimony against their own boss. In this they have so far been aided by the feckless judiciary. If there does not arise some respect for the Office of the President on the part of higher courts, the very exercise of Executive Privilege will become the “High misdemeanors” the Dems are looking for.


The most drastic move of the zealots in the House is their attempt to place their own judgement of the President’s legitimacy over that of the American public by attempting to overthrow the sitting president before the already scheduled election less than a year hence. If this is not a blatant attempt to exercise raw power, it will do until a military coup comes along.
To make matters worse, the proceedings are being conducted IN SECRET! While the procedures leading to impeachment are not prescribed in any detail in the founding documents of the republic – probably because the Founders never envisioned a serious attack on the president’s right to exercise his office – there have been procedural precedents set by the three other impeachment efforts in American history (Andrew Johnson 1867, Richard Nixon 1974, William Clinton 1996). These procedures constitute due process and cannot in good conscience be abandoned without adequate substitutes.


Due process of law is guaranteed by the Fifth Amendment to the Constitution. Surely the President of the United States is due the same rights as any other citizen. In this regard, there is another precedent being abandoned by these outlaws, namely the secrecy of the Grand Jury proceedings. 


Schiff is demanding that the seal of secrecy which exists for the Grand Juries which heard the accusations of the Mueller investigation be broken and made public. And (unbelievably) an Obama federal judge has so ordered. This means that the ultimate decision as to further action against a defendant which has already been made by a properly constituted Grand Jury can now be exploited by a group of politicians whose motives are suspect at best. And the witnesses may be summoned before Congress on the basis of prior testimony. Our already flawed judicial system stands to be further compromised.


In summary: the USA cannot tolerate1)      a presidency which does not have the necessary tools to perform its sworn obligations to the American people.2)     a judicial system which does not protect the anonymity of those who give testimony in Grand Jury proceedings held to determine whether or not to prosecute a defendant who is presumed innocent until proven guilty,3)     or a president who is subject to the whims of any bureaucrat who wishes to cause him trouble and schemes with a powerful House Committee chairman under the cloak of anonymity,4)     nor, finally, an assault against a president’s fitness to serve while denying him the benefit of due process.These people have to be stopped before they bring down our Constitution and our democracy for future generations. © Richfield Press, 2019. All rights reserved.                                                                            

Tweets on Susan Crockford

A few thoughts. http://carolinacoastonline.com/news_times/opinions/editorials/article_4561e6e4-f51b-11e9-bb25-5bf2cb299d17.html…… why this story matters. We are told repeatedly that it is about the science but climate alarmists lie on that score. If the science matters, Crockford would not have been fired but praised for her work.

We have been told that Polar Bears population would drop significantly close to extinction but the opposite happens. Crockford work demolished an important selling point of climate change impact upon Arctic creatures.

This should have forced a reevaluation of some claims made but instead it saw the firing of the scientist who debunked these claims So far no credible scientist have challenged her claims and her research is excellent on this score. The reality is that questionable science has been used to back alarmist claims from the Medieval Warming Period not happening despite some 1000 plus studies saying otherwise to Polar Bears are dying.

The weakness of the science is becoming more obvious as the empiric evidence don’t support the main thesis that the increase of CO2 is having overall negative result on the planet. Professor Crockford story is instructive.

This is not about the science but it is about politics and the use of this to transform our society into a socialist paradise or whatever. I once told a researcher on Heartland Institute who wins the political battle wins the scientific battle.

He told me that the science will win and our side have the science. I told him it is irrelevant about the Science since his opponent are not fighting in the scientific realm but the political realm.

This proves my point that scientific battle is secondary to the political battle. When the science goes against the Alarmist they either change the subject, censor the sources that disagrees with them or simply manipulate the data to get what they want.

From Dr. Larry

Hey Dems, control your attack dogs!

The lesson of the Minneapolis Trump rally

By Dr. Larry Fedewa (October 12, 2019)
The contrast could not have been starker: 20,000 people inside and 25,000 people outside the Minneapolis Target Center on Thursday night, having a great time at a Trump rally compared to a few hundred angry protesters in the parking lot taunting police, breaking things and burning confiscated property. The threat of further violence was thick in the air, particularly as the audience began to leave for home after the event. The fact that no one was hurt appears to have been due to the very visible presence of the police, who were out in force.
Political protest is one of the rights of all Americans. But violence in the name of free speech is NOT a right. The American Left seems to have trouble recognizing this fact. Nor do they recognize the rights of conservatives who also have the right to free speech, as witnessed by all the effective blocks of conservative speakers on U.S. campuses.But what do the thought leaders of the Democrat Party have to do with violence in the streets? Most of the time, they weren’t even there. 

The answer is in their words. Namely, the apocalyptic tone of so many of their messages. A good example is the leader of their Party, Nancy Pelosi, who speaks of this President as bringing about the “end of our democracy”, “violating the Constitution”, and the like. Talk about condemnation without a trial! She and her co-conspirators are condemning the President first and looking for evidence later.
Even more apocalyptic is the rhetoric of the radical wing of the party who are predicting the end of the world unless their insane recommendations for climate control are heeded. “Seven years left to sustain a habitable planet!” “Eliminate fossil fuels or die!” Their “Green America” agenda is packed with outlandish proposals.All this rhetoric is bound to stir up extreme reactions. It is intended to. Fear can be a great motivator. It can also overcome logic, common sense and science. Witness the huge reaction of youths during their March 15, 2019 international strike for climate change.

It is also inciting to riot. The irresponsible talk by the leaders of the Democrat Party has let the genie of violence out of the bottle. It seems inevitable that protests like the one in Minneapolis will evolve between now and November 3, 2020 into violence – UNLESS the rhetoric of the candidates and leaders of the Democrat Party cools off. Even then, it may be too late!

As usual, the Dems accuse the Right of committing the very sins the Left are in fact guilty of – whether they be conspiracy, corruption, or in this case violence. In Minneapolis, the supporters of the President were having an exciting but peaceful event. The protesters were the villains in this story – as they have been in so many demonstrations, riots and marches. The days of Martin Luther King, Jr. and non-violent protests are long gone.

The days of Antifa are here.

tweets October 11th NBA, China


The Donelson Files@Donelsonfiles
·7mFor years the NBA was the social warrior league, willing to take stances against what their coaches and owners viewed as injustice. The recent China-NBA has exposed something ugly.

The NBA is not the only businesses kowtowing to the Chinese but Charles Barkley in a statement defending the NBA made it clear. It is about the billion of dollars the NBA has at stake. Barkley is not wrong and while you may disagree with his stance, he is being truthful.

The question that will be raised, does this hurt the moral authority of the league, players and coaches who speak out on other issues. I would say yes, others may disagree.

NBA is not the only business that has surrender to the Chinese but it does show a disturbing trend, the number of companies willing to censor themselves to keep making billions. Chinese have succeeded in getting Americans give up principles for money.

We are getting a taste of what Chinese dominated world will look like. It will be a dark age for liberty and rise of National socialistic or fascist states throughout the world, subservient to China.

As for American companies, the very people who were the biggest defenders of free market will look askew at these companies and capitalism in general when they see companies giving up their freedom for almighty dollars.

For years the NBA was the social warrior league, willing to take stances against what their coaches and owners viewed as injustice. The recent China-NBA has exposed something ugly.