Working toward the future

A few thoughts about the Democratic and Republican Party. For Republicans, it is a question in the foreseeable is whether Trump will run in 2024 or a new generation of Republicans take hold.

The problem with Trump is that while he garner the base, he brings out the opponents as well. Are we ready for yet another 78 year old candidate after the Biden years? And can Trump take the Party forward, learn from his mistakes, or will he be unable to control his worse instincts and unable to broaden the coalition? While we made progress within the minority communities, Cygnal pollster Brent Buchanan noted, “This trendline is much clearer than the previous graph, showing where Democrats are gaining in areas that are growing and where Republicans are picking up support in stagnating or declining counties.” We lost a good portion of suburban voters in 2020 and can GOP recapture many of the suburban voters, the GOP is will have difficulty finding a permanent majority.

Democrats have their own problems since they are the Socialist Party of America and in the first six months, their proposals is failing and could lead to a complete collapse of the economy. While most Democrats would deny they are socialist, their proposals are definitely the most radical.

Among those things include:

  1. Elimination of industries, like the fossil fuels and force industries to manufacture what the government wants like electric cars.
  2. Open Border, allowing illegal immigration and weakening country identity.
  3. Theories like Critical race theories will undermine what America should be and teach a future generation that America is a racist society but yet, force America to live in a separated society by class and race.
  4. Taxing the productive part of society, expanding the welfare state and spending trillion of dollars while seeing inflation increasing.
  5. Biden is begging OPEC to increase production while he shuts our own energy production.
  6. Afghanistan proving to be a big disaster and that has strengthen our enemies while upsetting our allies.

Democrats have shown that their philosophy has been a complete failure, but GOP has to convince America they have a plan to change America for the best.

As I mention before, what we have seen with Biden would have been seen with any other Democrats.

Biden blows it

From Nigel Farage,

“But if [terror attacks] start to happen again and we start to think, well, how do we go out again and try and stop these cells that are spreading international terror? How can we do it with the Americans? How can we do it with an ally that is treating us with contempt and betrayed us and into the bargain, many of our own citizens…Certainly, if it’s a Biden or Harris administration, honestly, there is no way, there is no way a British parliament right now would vote for military cooperation with America led by this administration. And that’s a very sad thing to say, because since 1917, the UK and America have been side by side in virtually every major conflict. We’ve been the closest allies in terms of military action, in terms of intelligence sharing, in terms of culture, in terms of business…“You couldn’t have a better ally in the world. Right at the moment, I’m sorry, but there’s no way we could enter into another operation with you.”

Biden has now managed to screw up our closet ally. Good job Joe.

Biden is the symptom

Biden is the symptom. While many in the Democratic Party are shocked by what has happened in Afghanistan and we have seen several attempts by intelligences and military off the record leaks that we told Joe what would happen, and even a few in the media are complaining but the reality is that Biden bungling of Afghanistan was disaster that entire leadership class participated. Biden’s policies are turning into disaster on many fronts but Afghanistan

Biden administration as it is presently constituted is doom to failure for the following reason.

  1. The economic plan is based on increase spending, loose monetary policy with increase taxes on productive of society along with the expansion of the welfare state. Where is the economic growth coming from? Inflation is too much money chasing too few goods and Biden’s plan will not produce enough goods to soak up the loose money in the system and thus the inflation will continue.
  2. The energy plan is based on illusionary combination that we can produce all of energy with wind and solar while eliminating fossil fuels. This is impossible as any serious economist or energy specialist will tell you. Note the word serious. Reducing our domestic production has increased the cost of energy and going green will add to increases. https://www.americanexperiment.org/reports/doubling-down-on-failure-how-a-50-percent-by-2030-renewable-energy-standard-would-cost-minnesota-80-2-billion and https://www.americanexperiment.org/reports/not-in-our-backyard Biden is now begging OPEC to increase production. OPEC said no. The fact that Biden asked OPEC for increased oil production shows that even Biden team knows eliminating fossil fuels is impossible.
  3. Crime has increased in major cities and the defunding and cutting the police has failed.
  4. Foreign policy has been a disaster and Afghanistan is proof of that.

Biden’s policy would have been disaster under any of the leading Democratic Presidential contenders in 2020. Their policies would have followed Biden’s. Bernie Sanders wrote the 3.5 trillion dollar stimulus bill and Alexandra Cortez wrote the Biden’s version of Green New Deal. President Sanders or President Harris would not have done anything difference on points 1 through 3 and so far, Harris foreign policy trips have not been a model of success. Her trip to Central America was a failure and her managing of the border issues and illegal immigration has been a disaster, only now to be overshadowed by Afghanistan.

The only issue is that maybe another Democrat would have not botched it as badly but the overall foreign policy would have followed similar path.

Biden is a symptom of the complete failure of our leadership class and should be seen as such. Replacing Biden with Harris won’t matter at this point since the policies will be the same.

Afghanistan our options and time to review the mistakes

We had two choices with Afghanistan.

  1. From Austin Bay, “Understand that I think that since 9/11, America’s essential mission in Afghanistan has been what I call Guard Duty Writ Large. I first used that description in 2012. To protect U.S. national security at home and abroad, America had to attack and damage militant Islamic terrorist organizations. That meant denying them bases in anarchic regions, like Yemen, Somalia and Afghanistan. Denying doesn’t mean we have to occupy those places. It definitely doesn’t mean we need to engage in nation building and culture-changing — those are mega-challenge…We can strike Yemen and Somalia from the sea. Landlocked Afghanistan presents a problem. The closest air bases are six to seven hours away. Guard duty in Afghanistan means — or meant — maintaining an on-the-ground presence, primarily to support Afghan forces and refuel allied aircraft, but also to occasionally conduct U.S. air and ground raids on high-value targets throughout the region. The special operations raid that killed Osama Bin Laden in his Pakistan compound was launched from Afghanistan..Many in the defense and intelligence community agree that guard duty was the essential mission. Some argued nation building would ultimately give pro-democracy Afghans the tools to guard themselves. We did try that. Afghan corruption undermined the effort.” Bay’s point is that we should have kept a small group and a base to protect our interest and this doesn’t mean nation building.
  2. The second was to defeat the enemy which we did and leave, letting it be known if we will come back if you allow your country to be used as a terrorist base. Jordan Schachtel made this point in a couple of pieces and noted from a UK Guardian report, ” The Taliban, which ruled over Afghanistan under its Islamic Emirate banner, was seeing its territory facing constant bombardment from U.S. fighter jets. American forces made quick work of the most threatening elements of jihadist defences, having successfully decimated virtually every major target assigned to them in a week’s time. In this poverty-stricken land, populated by mud huts, subsistence farms, and mountain ranges, we’re talking about mostly weapons depots and crude militant bases. The Taliban had witnessed the full wrath of the most powerful military in the world, and wanted the devastation to come to an end…In a series of events that seems to have been entirely swept into the banned books section of history, Taliban leadership decided to reach out to the Americans. They offered up the one target U.S. forces seemed to be unable to locate: none other than Osama Bin Laden himself. ” There may have been a time in the beginning a deal with the Taliban could have been had including the capture of Bin Laden. We could have our deal to protect our interest and avoid a 20 year failure. Austin Bay added, “It didn’t have to be this way. A well-executed withdrawal would have saved their lives and perhaps saved the anti-Taliban government. The acronym is NEO — Noncombatant Evacuation Operation — “the departure of civilian noncombatants and nonessential military personnel from danger in an overseas country to a designated safe haven … The U.S. military is highly skilled at NEO. Even a NEO involving an area as large as Afghanistan could have been planned and prepared in 30 to 45 days if the Joint Chiefs of Staff had coordinating power and the State Department arranged for temporary refugee housing in third-country safe havens. The decision to withdraw from the huge air base at Bagram was utterly stupid, at least until threatened Afghans were extracted.”
  3. China and Russia now controls Central Asia, and we have no real bases in the region to conduct anti terrorist if needed. As JD Johannes, an associate of mine, noted on my podcast, the Chinese will not make the same mistakes we made and end up bribing the Taliban while gaining control of trillion dollars worth minerals.

We had two choices, one was to leave guard duty which meant continue troops but not enough to nation building or we retreat orderly and get our citizens and those who aided our efforts. Nation building was a failure and our retreat was a disaster and that is on this administration beginning with Joe Biden. We can argue what went wrong with our Middle East policy over the past two decades and need to.

Bob Gates, who served both Democratic and Republicans administration, observed about Joe Biden that he has never been right on a major issue in his career and he did oppose Obama’s effort to eliminate Bin Laden in 2011. This merely reinforces what Gates noted, Joe Biden is not a deep thinker and not often right. Joe Biden has botched this badly.

Biden, why we should not be surprised.

I am not surprised by Biden’s incompetence, since he has been man of mediocrity all his political career. Nor am I surprised that we have witnessed a lack of empathy by the President about the Afghans allies left behind along with the thousands of Americans still in Kabul. Anyone who has followed his career would have seen this.

One argument I heard from never Trumpers is that we would see a return of normality and standards from Biden and Biden’s loss of his first wife and daughter in a car accident along with his son death in war enhanced his empathy for others. One was forgotten that while it was tragic that he lost his wife and daughter, what he did to the individual, Curtis Dunn, involved in the accident was evil. For years, he insinuate that Dunn, who involved in the crash was “drunk” but this was a lie. As the Curtis Dunn’s daughter observed, ““I don’t think an apology set the story straight but I do feel that (Biden) needs to make some kind of statement that he was very wrong for saying that a trucker drank his lunch instead of eating it.” Biden added another victim to this, Curtis Dunn who forever branded a drunken driver and responsible for Biden’s wife death.

As one new story reported, “Delaware Superior Court Judge Jerome O. Herlihy, who oversaw the police investigation as chief prosecutor, said there was no evidence supporting Biden’s claim and Dunn was cleared of any wrongdoing…“The rumor about alcohol being involved by either party, especially the truck driver (Dunn), is incorrect.” Dunn stayed and attempted to save Biden’s wife and daughter life and may have saved the two boys, Hunter and Beau. Biden never needed to have lied about the incident on the campaign trail.

Throughout his career, he was never above calling voters stupid, out of shape, fat and liars but that was Joe being Joe. (No one ever stated when Trump insulted folks, this was Trump being Trump.)

I won’t comment upon Biden’s mental state only to say that when compared to past performance, there is no doubt the 78 year old Biden has his fast ball when it comes to speaking. His performance over the two weeks has not been reassuring, leaving Allies confused and enemies excited in Biden’s incompetence.

The reality is that Biden’s incompetence will have dangerous consequences for the United States and the West and his inability to think through the steps needed to not make a competed disaster out of this.

As I observed in my upcoming book, Biden major accomplishment was to figure out how enrich his family and himself but being a corrupt politician is hardly a accomplishment to brag about. What he has never been is someone who ever been consider much of thinker on public policies. If anything as I also noticed in my upcoming book, Biden is symptom of the collapse of our political class as he was consider the best the Democrats could muster to defeat Trump.

The failure of the withdrawal

The Biden withdrawal from Afghanistan has been a disaster and that would be understatement. We have Americans stuck in Kabul, and now discussing possible hostages. https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2021/08/will-there-be-hostages.php

Biden’s team blew this totally and remember these guys were suppose to restore America because we all knew Trump’s foreign policy was so disastrous. Well Biden is repeating all the mistakes of the Obama era and the result are proving even worse.

  1. The Middle East has taken a turn for the worse under the brilliance of Team Biden. Biden was left with a weaken Iran, a anti-Iranian alliance with Israel and Sunni states.
  2. Biden was left with United States becoming a energy exporters and cheaper energy, thus strengthening our position in the Middle East.

So Biden is left begging Taliban don’t hurt any Americans caught in Kabul and please OPEC, pump out more oil so we can have cheaper oil. Taliban could care less what Biden’s want and let us hope no hostages situation. OPEC is now back in the driver seat for oil production and Russia has increase its position in the world wide energy market due to the brilliance of Biden.

The intelligence on the weakness of the Afghan army is yet another failure, leaving us to wonder how did we train an army that collapsed in days and how did we screw up the intelligence? There are so many questions but Biden was left with a stronger hand from Trump foreign policy than Trump was left from Obama.

Robert Gates, who served in Bush and Obama administration once noted that Biden got most of the major issues wrong over his career. And now we are struck with this guy for another three plus years.

Obama was a mediocre President with very few positive accomplishments, and disaster on foreign policy. Biden is proving that he may yet end up the worst President ever, or at least over the past 100 plus years.

Biden has shown to be representative of the collapsed of the political class, a mediocre mind representative of the mediocrity of our political class and elites. From botching the Corona virus to our energy policy and now Afghanistan withdrawal fiasco. This shows we have a poor elites, the death of expertise.

Biden declares war on Red States

Biden has declared war on Red States. In Texas, illegal immigrants are crossing the border in record numbers, many of them infected with Covid. So unleashing many of the illegals have become a super spreader event in Texas and adding to increase in cases in Texas

In Florida, these new stories show how Biden has decided to go after DeSantis and Florida and Biden’s allies in the media has cooperated. (One of those stories, CDC gave out false data.) DeSantis showed the alternative to the lockdown advocates and demolished their science.

We are witnessing a war in which an administration is at war with half of its own population.

https://redstate.com/bonchie/2021/08/14/a-new-ron-desantis-conspiracy-theory-is-born-n426386

https://redstate.com/nick-arama/2021/08/13/told-ya-so-media-now-issues-correction-about-false-covid-story-they-hit-desantis-with-n426111

https://redstate.com/bonchie/2021/08/10/cdc-reports-false-covid-data-for-florida-and-leaves-major-questions-n423911

https://www.nationalreview.com/news/white-house-says-florida-school-officials-penalized-over-mask-mandate-ban-could-be-federally-reimbursed/

Biden Exposed

For those of us who have followed Biden’s political career are not surprised by his ineptitude as the man has been mediocre all his life. He has been good at enriching his family and himself but beyond that, he never had a reputation as a politician with any deep thoughts.

While some has stated that maybe he doesn’t have the mental acuity, it could be even simpler, he is simply not that bright and never was. In the case of Afghanistan, a Trump administration would have eventually left, the only case is how the withdrawal been conducted. There was no real support among Americans to stay in Afghanistan and we were ready to come home. Biden disaster was to manage the withdrawal disaster as Biden was hoping that the Afghan army would be hold off for a few months and whatever collapsed that occurred, it would occurred when Afghanistan would no longer be on the front page. Instead, we are witnessing a complete rout with many of those who aided our efforts will be left at the mercy of the Taliban. China is ready to recognize new Afghanistan and take advantage of minerals available in Afghanistan.

My associates, Jd Johannes observed the Chinese will handle Afghan better, take advantage of the minerals available while essentially funding the Taliban. They won’t put their own troops there. This was a two decades disaster in the making , in which we attempted to remake Afghans in our image. We obtained our original goals, kicked ass of the terrorist but expanded the mission.

Biden is now begging OPEC to increase oil production after knee capping our local production. Russia has benefitted along with OPEC from Biden’s bad energy policies and our consumers plus energy workers have suffered as a result with higher prices and less jobs. Inflation is now upon us as the basic goods of life are increasing.

Inflation, Biden begging OPEC for increased production to lower prices and Afghanistan disaster unfolding.

What we know and should know

For the past two weeks, we have had special programs on Corona Virus and what we should know about the virus including all the right lesson.

  1. This is a virus that the IFR is around .2 to .4 or 2 to 4 per 1000. The past decade the average flu season was 1 per 1000 with ranges from 3 per 10,000 to 1.7 per 1000 in 2018. The later is close to the IFR of Corona virus. The 1957 pandemic was at least 2 per 1000 and maybe 3 per 1000 so we have has seen flu pandemics similar to Coronavirus. We are talking a virus that ranges from 1 to 3 per 1000 more than past flu season and significantly lower than the 1918-1920 Spanish flu pandemic.
  2. Corona virus has high incidence of serious illness with the elderly, those with underlying condition as well as being overweight. The flu hurts the young more.
  3. The lockdown was complete failure and there should be no doubt on that. Our own data has shown that there have been no significant difference in deaths between Lockdown and non-lockdown states as well as Democrat versus Republican states but Republican states and non lockdown states have lower unemployment rates compared to lockdown and Democratic states.
  4. I have been vaccinated and would recommend others to do the same but I will not force anyone to get a vaccines. Contact your doctor and decide on the risk versus benefits. One example was the drummer Peter Parada, drummer of the Offspring. In his own words, “Given my personal medical history and the side-effect profile of these jabs, my doctor has advised me not to get a shot at this time. I caught the virus over a year ago, it was mild for me – so I am confident I’d be able to handle it again, but I’m not so certain I’d survive another post-vaccination round of Guillain-Barré Syndrome, which dates back to my childhood and has evolved to be progressively worse over my lifetime. Unfortunately for me, (and my family – who is hoping to keep me around a bit longer) the risks far outweigh the benefits.” He has been kicked out of the band and he does have immunity due to having been exposed to the virus. No one should be forced to vaccinated.
  5. No vaccine passports. Denying some one access to restaurants, job opportunities, and other enjoyments impacts minorities and lower class who are less likely to be vaccinated. https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/08/04/dr-drew-vaccine-passports-are-modern-day-segregation/ and https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2021/08/04/bostons-democrat-mayor-compares-nyc-vaccine-mandate-to-slavery/ This point was made by John Phelan on our show today.
  6. Delta virus according to British data is less lethal and with less hospitalization. We are talking 1/5th as lethal with 1/2 of the hospitalization. The lethal is similar to mild flu season. Hardly a threat and not enough of a threat to lockdown or mask mandates.
  7. There is no real data showing mask mandates or closing schools are beneficial to stopping the spread but there is enough data to show closing schools have a negative impact on students as they fall behind. A Democrat school board who happens to be a Doctor told me he saw no reason to force mask on children but he was out voted on mask and agreed to a mask mandates because he felt it was important to open the schools five days a week. Call it a compromise but unfortunately panic has produced bad policies.
  8. As one Biden advisor admitted, cloth masks are ineffective against the virus. It is nothing more than a placebo.
  9. This is no longer about science but control of the population. I made this point and I will make it again. Fauci is a mediocre scientist who has done more damage to the credibility of science. And those who support masking school children and lockdowns are ignoring the science. Period.

Fauci, is he really a mediocre scientist?

When I think of Fauci, I think of the line in Men in Black where Zed the leader noted, to candidates rejected as MIB agents: “Gentlemen, congratulations. You’re everything we’ve come to expect from years of government training. Now please step this way, as we provide you with our final test: an eye exam…”

That is Fauci, he is everything we have come to expect from government training and work. He has been a disaster as a public health officials but it hasn’t cost him anything, certainly not his job. Among his mistakes:

  1. He overestimated the IFR of the virus by a factor of 3 to 5.
  2. Propose the lockdown and never backed off
  3. His position on masks were confusing and often wrong .
  4. He should have known that the Chinese lab was the origin of the virus or he did but did nothing.
  5. He admitted to lying on occasion since we couldn’t have handle the truth.

He has been a disaster. Period.